Stevens 5-10
Source end time Aug 18, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
- Complete quote
- Best bid 44¢
- Best ask 45¢
- BBO midpoint 44.5¢
- 1¢ spread
- $12.9K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
- First observed
- 21¢
- Latest observed
- 44.5¢
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +31 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
- Matching market side in both snapshots
- Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
- Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
- Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Verified daily snapshots
Snapshot comparison
- Jul 29, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC
- 13.5¢
- Jul 30, 2026, 10:09 AM UTC
- 44.5¢
- Change
- +31 pp
This compares two verified daily snapshots. It is not a live price chart or performance forecast.
Contract and resolution details
- Source end time
- Aug 18, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
- Timing interpretation
- Source metadata—not a verified trading cutoff.
- Resolution source
- A separate resolution source was not provided in this edition.
Published rules
This market will settle to Yes if Haley Stevens's margin of victory in the Michigan Senate Democratic Primary is between 5% and 10%. Outcome sourced from relevant state authorities. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share percentages between the candidate that receives the most valid votes in the specified election and the candidate that receives the second-most valid votes in the specified election. A candidate's vote share percentage will be calculated by dividing the total number of valid votes received by the candidate by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. If the specified candidate does not receive the most valid votes in the specified election, this market will settle to No. If the margin falls exactly on the boundary between two ranges, the Contract will settle in favor of the range for which that value is the inclusive lower boundary. If multiple candidates tie for the most votes in this election, Yes contract holders of the lowest bracket contract for each tied candidate receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.