Daily market intelligence
A selective view of verified market movement, quote quality, source-reported activity, and timing. Rankings describe observable market activity—not expected profit or outcome accuracy.
Prospective simulation
Strategy version 2026-07-21.momentum-paper.v4
Enters US markets from the published Largest Verified Moves list, sized $1–$25 by Evidence Score at the live ask. Positions close at official settlement, at the seven-day exit, or between pulses via the exit sentinel; a market can re-qualify after its position completes.
No real money is traded
Browse by evidence condition
The largest absolute changes that cleared the daily comparison's stable-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Mariia Drobysheva midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -45 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 1, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Kuzmenko Dmytro midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -40 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 12, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yelyzaveta Kotliar midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +35.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · politics
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 18, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +31 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · macro
2 contracts shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +31 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -24 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 12, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Bastian Malla midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +30 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · culture
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +27 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -26.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · geopolitics
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Jan 14, 2027, 11:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -26 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 12, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Shopify Rebellion Black midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -26 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -25.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 12, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Samuele Pieri midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -24.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
ENCE midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +23.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Carles Hernandez midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +19.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
EDward Gaming midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -18 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · climate
2 contracts shown in this section
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +18 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -17.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Zangar Nurlanuly midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -18 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Dec 11, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -16.7 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Patrick Zahraj midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -15.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Largest verified moves · sports
1 contract shown in this section
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Theo Papamalamis midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +15.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.