macro · Event evidence
2 contracts · Source snapshot Jul 30, 2026, 10:09 AM UTC
Same-event evidence
This compares only the contracts published by ConsensusIQ for this event. It describes market evidence, not expected returns or which position to take.
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Read how ConsensusIQ builds and orders this evidence
Source destination
Search for “US GDP Growth in Q2 2026,” then use the exact contract labels shown above.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +31 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Verified daily snapshots
This compares two verified daily snapshots. It is not a live price chart or performance forecast.
If the seasonally adjusted annualized rate of real U.S. GDP growth for Q2 2026 is at least 2.5%, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by BEA. Settlement is based on the Advance Estimate GDP release published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), currently scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure (including those published in the Second Estimate or Third Estimate) will not be considered for settlement purposes. If the BEA does not publish the seasonally adjusted annualized rate of real GDP Growth on the Advance Estimate scheduled release date, the first figure officially published by the BEA for the Q2 2026 seasonally adjusted annualized rate of real GDP growth will be used for settlement (e.g., in the Second or Third Estimate). If no qualifying figure is published within three months of the scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous quarter with available data.
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -24 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Verified daily snapshots
This compares two verified daily snapshots. It is not a live price chart or performance forecast.
If the seasonally adjusted annualized rate of real U.S. GDP growth for Q2 2026 is at least 1.5%, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by BEA. Settlement is based on the Advance Estimate GDP release published by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), currently scheduled for release on July 30, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure (including those published in the Second Estimate or Third Estimate) will not be considered for settlement purposes. If the BEA does not publish the seasonally adjusted annualized rate of real GDP Growth on the Advance Estimate scheduled release date, the first figure officially published by the BEA for the Q2 2026 seasonally adjusted annualized rate of real GDP growth will be used for settlement (e.g., in the Second or Third Estimate). If no qualifying figure is published within three months of the scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous quarter with available data.