A selective view of verified market movement, quote quality, source-reported activity, and timing. Rankings describe observable market activity—not expected profit or outcome accuracy.
Prospective simulation
Paper Portfolio
Strategy version 2026-07-21.momentum-paper.v4
Enters US markets from the published Largest Verified Moves list, sized $1–$25 by Evidence Score at the live ask. Positions close at official settlement, at the seven-day exit, or between pulses via the exit sentinel; a market can re-qualify after its position completes.
No real money is traded
Paper cash$733.38
+
Open liquidation value$164.81
=
Simulated value$898.19
Initial paper balance
$1,000.00
Total paper gain/loss
−$101.81 (−10.18%)
Paper cash
$733.38
Open positions
17
Completed positions
151
Source evidence
Last evaluated
Browse by evidence condition
The largest absolute changes that cleared the daily comparison's stable-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
Largest verified moves · politics
Michigan Senate Democratic Primary Margin of Victory?
1 contract shown in this section
Stevens 5-10
Source end time Aug 18, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes44.5¢+31 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 44¢
Best ask 45¢
BBO midpoint 44.5¢
1¢ spread
$12.9K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
21¢
Latest observed
44.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+23.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +31 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · politics
Who Will Be Announced Out of Trump Admin in 2026?
1 contract shown in this section
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Source end time Jan 14, 2027, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes35¢-12 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 31¢
Best ask 39¢
BBO midpoint 35¢
8¢ spread
$10.1K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
6 verified observations
First observed
29¢
Latest observed
35¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+6 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -12 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · politics
Michigan Senate Democratic Primary Winner
1 contract shown in this section
Abdul El-Sayed
Source end time Aug 18, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes92¢+11.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 87¢
Best ask 97¢
BBO midpoint 92¢
10¢ spread
$5.74K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
65¢
Latest observed
92¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+27 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +11.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots