A selective view of verified market movement, quote quality, source-reported activity, and timing. Rankings describe observable market activity—not expected profit or outcome accuracy.
Prospective simulation
Paper Portfolio
Strategy version 2026-07-21.momentum-paper.v4
Enters US markets from the published Largest Verified Moves list, sized $1–$25 by Evidence Score at the live ask. Positions close at official settlement, at the seven-day exit, or between pulses via the exit sentinel; a market can re-qualify after its position completes.
No real money is traded
Paper cash$733.38
+
Open liquidation value$164.81
=
Simulated value$898.19
Initial paper balance
$1,000.00
Total paper gain/loss
−$101.81 (−10.18%)
Paper cash
$733.38
Open positions
17
Completed positions
151
Source evidence
Last evaluated
Browse by evidence condition
The largest absolute changes that cleared the daily comparison's stable-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
Largest verified moves · macro
US GDP Growth in Q2 2026
2 contracts shown in this section
At least 2.5%
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes43.5¢+31 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 43¢
Best ask 44¢
BBO midpoint 43.5¢
1¢ spread
$224 reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
38¢
Latest observed
43.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+5.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
At least 1.5%
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes71.5¢-24 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 71¢
Best ask 72¢
BBO midpoint 71.5¢
1¢ spread
$817 reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
89¢
Latest observed
71.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-17.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
At least 2.5%
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +31 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
At least 1.5%
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -24 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · macro
Bank of Brazil Decision in August?
1 contract shown in this section
25 bps Decrease
Source end time Aug 19, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes83.5¢-9 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 83¢
Best ask 84¢
BBO midpoint 83.5¢
1¢ spread
$36.1K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
78¢
Latest observed
83.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+5.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -9 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots