A selective view of verified market movement, quote quality, source-reported activity, and timing. Rankings describe observable market activity—not expected profit or outcome accuracy.
Prospective simulation
Paper Portfolio
Strategy version 2026-07-21.momentum-paper.v4
Enters US markets from the published Largest Verified Moves list, sized $1–$25 by Evidence Score at the live ask. Positions close at official settlement, at the seven-day exit, or between pulses via the exit sentinel; a market can re-qualify after its position completes.
No real money is traded
Paper cash$733.38
+
Open liquidation value$164.81
=
Simulated value$898.19
Initial paper balance
$1,000.00
Total paper gain/loss
−$101.81 (−10.18%)
Paper cash
$733.38
Open positions
17
Completed positions
151
Source evidence
Last evaluated
Browse by evidence condition
The largest absolute changes that cleared the daily comparison's stable-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
Largest verified moves · culture
2026 Nobel Peace Prize Winner
1 contract shown in this section
Mykola Kuleba
Source end time Oct 23, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes33.5¢+27 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 33¢
Best ask 34¢
BBO midpoint 33.5¢
1¢ spread
$25.7 reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
6.5¢
Latest observed
33.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+27 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +27 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · culture
TIME Person of the Year 2026
1 contract shown in this section
Elon Musk
Source end time Jan 14, 2027, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes3.5¢-10 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 3¢
Best ask 4¢
BBO midpoint 3.5¢
1¢ spread
$357 reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
24¢
Latest observed
3.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-20.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -10 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · culture
Top Artist in the US 2026?
1 contract shown in this section
Bad Bunny
Source end time Dec 16, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes22.5¢+9 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 21¢
Best ask 24¢
BBO midpoint 22.5¢
3¢ spread
$557 reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
20¢
Latest observed
22.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+2.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +9 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots