A selective view of verified market movement, quote quality, source-reported activity, and timing. Rankings describe observable market activity—not expected profit or outcome accuracy.
Prospective simulation
Paper Portfolio
Strategy version 2026-07-21.momentum-paper.v4
Enters US markets from the published Largest Verified Moves list, sized $1–$25 by Evidence Score at the live ask. Positions close at official settlement, at the seven-day exit, or between pulses via the exit sentinel; a market can re-qualify after its position completes.
No real money is traded
Paper cash$733.38
+
Open liquidation value$164.81
=
Simulated value$898.19
Initial paper balance
$1,000.00
Total paper gain/loss
−$101.81 (−10.18%)
Paper cash
$733.38
Open positions
17
Completed positions
151
Source evidence
Last evaluated
Browse by evidence condition
The largest absolute changes that cleared the daily comparison's stable-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
Largest verified moves · climate
Highest temperature in NYC on July 30?
2 contracts shown in this section
77 to 78
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes57.5¢+18 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 57¢
Best ask 58¢
BBO midpoint 57.5¢
1¢ spread
$101K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
39.5¢
Latest observed
57.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+18 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
76 or below
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes28¢-17.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 25¢
Best ask 31¢
BBO midpoint 28¢
6¢ spread
$327K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
45.5¢
Latest observed
28¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-17.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
77 to 78
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +18 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
76 or below
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -17.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · climate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 30?
2 contracts shown in this section
73 to 74
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes14¢-12.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 12¢
Best ask 16¢
BBO midpoint 14¢
4¢ spread
$24K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
26.5¢
Latest observed
14¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-12.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
71 to 72
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes49¢+9.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 48¢
Best ask 50¢
BBO midpoint 49¢
2¢ spread
$165K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
39.5¢
Latest observed
49¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+9.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
73 to 74
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -12.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
71 to 72
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +9.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · climate
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 30?
1 contract shown in this section
87 to 88
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes39.5¢+11 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 39¢
Best ask 40¢
BBO midpoint 39.5¢
1¢ spread
$22.4K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
28.5¢
Latest observed
39.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+11 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +11 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots