A selective view of verified market movement, quote quality, source-reported activity, and timing. Rankings describe observable market activity—not expected profit or outcome accuracy.
Prospective simulation
Paper Portfolio
Strategy version 2026-07-21.momentum-paper.v4
Enters US markets from the published Largest Verified Moves list, sized $1–$25 by Evidence Score at the live ask. Positions close at official settlement, at the seven-day exit, or between pulses via the exit sentinel; a market can re-qualify after its position completes.
No real money is traded
Paper cash$733.38
+
Open liquidation value$164.81
=
Simulated value$898.19
Initial paper balance
$1,000.00
Total paper gain/loss
−$101.81 (−10.18%)
Paper cash
$733.38
Open positions
17
Completed positions
151
Source evidence
Last evaluated
Browse by evidence condition
Events whose source end time falls within the edition's 72-hour source window, with incomplete quotes separated below.
Closing soon · climate
Highest temperature in NYC on July 30?
4 shown of 6 contracts in this section
76 or below
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes28¢-17.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 25¢
Best ask 31¢
BBO midpoint 28¢
6¢ spread
$327K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
45.5¢
Latest observed
28¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-17.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
77 to 78
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes57.5¢+18 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 57¢
Best ask 58¢
BBO midpoint 57.5¢
1¢ spread
$101K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
39.5¢
Latest observed
57.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+18 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
79 to 80
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes17.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 17¢
Best ask 18¢
BBO midpoint 17.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
16.5¢
Latest observed
17.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+1 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
81 to 82
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes4¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 3¢
Best ask 5¢
BBO midpoint 4¢
2¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
2.5¢
Latest observed
4¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+1.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
76 or below
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
77 to 78
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
79 to 80
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
81 to 82
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
Closing soon · climate
Highest temperature in Miami on July 30?
5 shown of 6 contracts in this section
90 to 91
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes1.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 1¢
Best ask 2¢
BBO midpoint 1.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
1.5¢
Latest observed
1.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC0 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
92 to 93
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes14¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 8¢
Best ask 20¢
BBO midpoint 14¢
12¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
9.5¢
Latest observed
14¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+4.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
94 to 95
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes51¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 46¢
Best ask 56¢
BBO midpoint 51¢
10¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
50.5¢
Latest observed
51¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+0.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
96 to 97
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes38.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 38¢
Best ask 39¢
BBO midpoint 38.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
33.5¢
Latest observed
38.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
98 or above
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 2¢
Best ask 8¢
BBO midpoint 5¢
6¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
7.5¢
Latest observed
5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-2.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
90 to 91
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
92 to 93
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
94 to 95
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
96 to 97
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
98 or above
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
Closing soon · climate
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 30?
6 contracts shown in this section
84 or below
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes15.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 13¢
Best ask 18¢
BBO midpoint 15.5¢
5¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
21.5¢
Latest observed
15.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-6 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
85 to 86
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes44.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 44¢
Best ask 45¢
BBO midpoint 44.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
45.5¢
Latest observed
44.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-1 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
87 to 88
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes39.5¢+11 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 39¢
Best ask 40¢
BBO midpoint 39.5¢
1¢ spread
$22.4K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
28.5¢
Latest observed
39.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+11 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
89 to 90
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes1.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 1¢
Best ask 2¢
BBO midpoint 1.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
4.5¢
Latest observed
1.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-3 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
91 to 92
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes3.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 3¢
Best ask 4¢
BBO midpoint 3.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
3.5¢
Latest observed
3.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC0 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
93 or above
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes1.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 1¢
Best ask 2¢
BBO midpoint 1.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
1.5¢
Latest observed
1.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC0 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
84 or below
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
85 to 86
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
87 to 88
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
89 to 90
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
91 to 92
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
93 or above
Closing soon · climate
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 30?
6 contracts shown in this section
75 or below
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes2¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 1¢
Best ask 3¢
BBO midpoint 2¢
2¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
76 to 77
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes23.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 23¢
Best ask 24¢
BBO midpoint 23.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
20.5¢
Latest observed
23.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+3 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
78 to 79
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes57.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 57¢
Best ask 58¢
BBO midpoint 57.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
60.5¢
Latest observed
57.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-3 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
80 to 81
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes17.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 17¢
Best ask 18¢
BBO midpoint 17.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
20.5¢
Latest observed
17.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-3 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
82 to 83
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes2.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 1¢
Best ask 4¢
BBO midpoint 2.5¢
3¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
3.5¢
Latest observed
2.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-1 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
84 or above
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes3¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 2¢
Best ask 4¢
BBO midpoint 3¢
2¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
1.5¢
Latest observed
3¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+1.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
75 or below
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
76 to 77
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
78 to 79
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
80 to 81
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
82 to 83
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
84 or above
Closing soon · climate
Highest temperature in San Francisco on July 30?
6 contracts shown in this section
68 or below
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes8.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 8¢
Best ask 9¢
BBO midpoint 8.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
7.5¢
Latest observed
8.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+1 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
69 to 70
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes24.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 24¢
Best ask 25¢
BBO midpoint 24.5¢
1¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
26.5¢
Latest observed
24.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-2 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
71 to 72
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes49¢+9.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 48¢
Best ask 50¢
BBO midpoint 49¢
2¢ spread
$165K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
39.5¢
Latest observed
49¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+9.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
73 to 74
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes14¢-12.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 12¢
Best ask 16¢
BBO midpoint 14¢
4¢ spread
$24K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
26.5¢
Latest observed
14¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-12.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
75 to 76
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes4.5¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 3¢
Best ask 6¢
BBO midpoint 4.5¢
3¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
3.5¢
Latest observed
4.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+1 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
77 or above
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Selected side Yes2¢Movement unavailable
Complete quote
Best bid 1¢
Best ask 3¢
BBO midpoint 2¢
2¢ spread
Reported volume unavailable
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
1.5¢
Latest observed
2¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+0.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
68 or below
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
69 to 70
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
71 to 72
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
73 to 74
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
75 to 76
Data qualityComplete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
77 or above
Separated evidence
Limited market data
These events have source end times in this section, but a complete quote was unavailable at the snapshot.
Closing soon · climate
Highest temperature in NYC on July 30?
2 shown of 6 contracts in this section
83 to 84
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side YesQuote unavailableMovement unavailable
Quote unavailable
Best bid unavailable
Best ask 3¢
BBO midpoint unavailable
Spread unavailable
Reported volume unavailable
85 or above
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side YesQuote unavailableMovement unavailable
Quote unavailable
Best bid unavailable
Best ask 2¢
BBO midpoint unavailable
Spread unavailable
Reported volume unavailable
Why it appears
83 to 84
Data qualityLimited quote
A best bid or best ask was unavailable in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours, but quote data was incomplete.
Shown separately as limited market data
85 or above
Data qualityLimited quote
A best bid or best ask was unavailable in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours, but quote data was incomplete.
Shown separately as limited market data
Closing soon · climate
Highest temperature in Miami on July 30?
1 shown of 6 contracts in this section
89 or below
Source end time Jul 31, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC
Selected side YesQuote unavailableMovement unavailable
Quote unavailable
Best bid unavailable
Best ask 2¢
BBO midpoint unavailable
Spread unavailable
Reported volume unavailable
Why it appears
Data qualityLimited quote
A best bid or best ask was unavailable in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours, but quote data was incomplete.
Shown separately as limited market data
Data quality
Complete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
Data quality
Complete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.
Best bid and ask available
Data quality
Complete quote
A best bid and best ask were available in this daily snapshot.
The source-listed end time falls within 72 hours of this daily snapshot.