A selective view of verified market movement, quote quality, source-reported activity, and timing. Rankings describe observable market activity—not expected profit or outcome accuracy.
Prospective simulation
Paper Portfolio
Strategy version 2026-07-21.momentum-paper.v4
Enters US markets from the published Largest Verified Moves list, sized $1–$25 by Evidence Score at the live ask. Positions close at official settlement, at the seven-day exit, or between pulses via the exit sentinel; a market can re-qualify after its position completes.
No real money is traded
Paper cash$733.38
+
Open liquidation value$164.81
=
Simulated value$898.19
Initial paper balance
$1,000.00
Total paper gain/loss
−$101.81 (−10.18%)
Paper cash
$733.38
Open positions
17
Completed positions
151
Source evidence
Last evaluated
Browse by evidence condition
The largest absolute changes that cleared the daily comparison's stable-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
Largest verified moves · technology
Which Company Has #1 AI Model end of 2026?
1 contract shown in this section
xAI
Source end time Jan 14, 2027, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes1.5¢-9 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 1¢
Best ask 2¢
BBO midpoint 1.5¢
1¢ spread
$3.84K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
15¢
Latest observed
1.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-13.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -9 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · culture
Top Artist in the US 2026?
1 contract shown in this section
Bad Bunny
Source end time Dec 16, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes22.5¢+9 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 21¢
Best ask 24¢
BBO midpoint 22.5¢
3¢ spread
$557 reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
20¢
Latest observed
22.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+2.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +9 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · macro
Bank of Brazil Decision in August?
1 contract shown in this section
25 bps Decrease
Source end time Aug 19, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes83.5¢-9 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 83¢
Best ask 84¢
BBO midpoint 83.5¢
1¢ spread
$36.1K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
78¢
Latest observed
83.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+5.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -9 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · sports
Yureneva Svitlana vs. Kurtenko Alina
1 contract shown in this section
Yureneva Svitlana vs Kurtenko Alina
Source end time Aug 1, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC
Selected side Yureneva Svitlana38.5¢+9 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 38¢
Best ask 39¢
BBO midpoint 38.5¢
1¢ spread
$16.7K reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yureneva Svitlana midpoint evidence
2 verified observations
First observed
29.5¢
Latest observed
38.5¢
Jul 29, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC+9 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved +9 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · sports
Pro Football Comeback Player of the Year
1 contract shown in this section
Patrick Mahomes
Source end time Feb 25, 2027, 11:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes31.5¢-8.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 30¢
Best ask 33¢
BBO midpoint 31.5¢
3¢ spread
$0.1 reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
7 verified observations
First observed
41.5¢
Latest observed
31.5¢
Jul 24, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-10 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -8.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots
Largest verified moves · sports
VfB eSports vs. Kaufland Hangry Knights
1 contract shown in this section
VfB eSports wins game 2
Source end time Aug 13, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC
Selected side Yes21.5¢-8.5 pp
Complete quote
Best bid 21¢
Best ask 22¢
BBO midpoint 21.5¢
1¢ spread
$306 reported traded notional
Recent daily snapshots
Yes midpoint evidence
4 verified observations
First observed
30¢
Latest observed
21.5¢
Jul 27, 2026–Jul 30, 2026 UTC-8.5 pp net change
Daily midpoint observations, not live prices or a forecast.
Why it appears
Data qualityVerified comparison
Two daily snapshots passed the matching-side, quote, spread, movement, and source-backed activity checks.
The selected side's midpoint moved -8.5 percentage points since the previous daily snapshot.
Matching market side in both snapshots
Best bid and ask available in both snapshots
Positive reported traded notional from the current market Book
Bid-ask spread no greater than 10¢ in both snapshots